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Projected Picks

SXY Newport Beach Open — Bracket Predictions

Five pro draws, current bracket paths, and Sheet Rating probabilities. This reads like a pick sheet first; the full model path is one click deeper.

Men's Singles
Zane Ford
SR 1659 · Thin edge
Women's Singles
Kiora Kunimoto
SR 1630 · Thin edge
Men's Doubles
Darrian Young / Augustus Ge
SR 1620 · Thin edge
Women's Doubles
Genie Erokhina / Lingwei Kong
SR 1537 · Thin edge
Mixed Doubles
Clayton Powell / Danni-Elle Townsend
SR 1594 · Thin edge
How To Read This

Projected path, not official result

The winner card is the model's bracket pick. Final confidence below 60% is a thin edge, 60-69% is a lean, and 70%+ is strong. Official brackets remain the source of truth.

Generated May 8, 10:55 PM EDT ppa_finals_draws.json
Market Read

Start with uncertainty

Close finals and upset paths are better prediction-market candidates than obvious favorites. Use the path button on each draw to see where the model thinks pressure shows up.

Men's Singles
Zane Ford Is the Model's Pick
Projected final: Zane Ford over Yates Johnson at 53.5% model confidence. That grades as thin edge, so treat the draw with the right amount of uncertainty.
Winner
Zane Ford
SR 1659 · Thin edge final confidence >
The model projects Zane Ford through a final against Yates Johnson with 53.5% final-match confidence. This is a probability read, not a certainty.
Finalist
Yates Johnson
Projected runner-up path >
Yates Johnson reaches the final in the model path. This is a clean name to track for market questions and upset exposure.
Semifinalists
Mota Alhouni / Rafael Lenhard
Late-round pressure spots >
Mota Alhouni and Rafael Lenhard appear in the projected semifinal path, which is where the bracket starts producing useful market tension.
Dark Horse
Eddy Kim
Upset or contender watch >
Eddy Kim is the name the model surfaces outside the obvious final path. Worth watching before prices harden.
Markets Official bracket
Women's Singles
Kiora Kunimoto Is the Model's Pick
Projected final: Kiora Kunimoto over Isabella Dunlap at 54.1% model confidence. That grades as thin edge, so treat the draw with the right amount of uncertainty.
Winner
Kiora Kunimoto
SR 1630 · Thin edge final confidence >
The model projects Kiora Kunimoto through a final against Isabella Dunlap with 54.1% final-match confidence. This is a probability read, not a certainty.
Finalist
Isabella Dunlap
Projected runner-up path >
Isabella Dunlap reaches the final in the model path. This is a clean name to track for market questions and upset exposure.
Semifinalists
Victoria Dimuzio / Cailyn Campbell
Late-round pressure spots >
Victoria Dimuzio and Cailyn Campbell appear in the projected semifinal path, which is where the bracket starts producing useful market tension.
Dark Horse
Lingwei Kong
Upset or contender watch >
Lingwei Kong is the name the model surfaces outside the obvious final path. Worth watching before prices harden.
Markets Official bracket
Men's Doubles
Darrian Young / Augustus Ge Is the Model's Pick
Projected final: Darrian Young / Augustus Ge over Luc Pham / Michael Loyd at 52.1% model confidence. That grades as thin edge, so treat the draw with the right amount of uncertainty.
Winner
Darrian Young / Augustus Ge
SR 1620 · Thin edge final confidence >
The model projects Darrian Young / Augustus Ge through a final against Luc Pham / Michael Loyd with 52.1% final-match confidence. This is a probability read, not a certainty.
Finalist
Luc Pham / Michael Loyd
Projected runner-up path >
Luc Pham / Michael Loyd reaches the final in the model path. This is a clean name to track for market questions and upset exposure.
Semifinalists
AJ Koller / Blaine Hovenier / Tama Shimabukuro / Yuta Funemizu
Late-round pressure spots >
AJ Koller / Blaine Hovenier and Tama Shimabukuro / Yuta Funemizu appear in the projected semifinal path, which is where the bracket starts producing useful market tension.
Dark Horse
Tyler Loong / Rafael Lenhard
Upset or contender watch >
Tyler Loong / Rafael Lenhard is the name the model surfaces outside the obvious final path. Worth watching before prices harden.
Markets Official bracket
Women's Doubles
Genie Erokhina / Lingwei Kong Is the Model's Pick
Projected final: Genie Erokhina / Lingwei Kong over Sahra Dennehy / Danni-Elle Townsend at 55.5% model confidence. That grades as thin edge, so treat the draw with the right amount of uncertainty.
Winner
Genie Erokhina / Lingwei Kong
SR 1537 · Thin edge final confidence >
The model projects Genie Erokhina / Lingwei Kong through a final against Sahra Dennehy / Danni-Elle Townsend with 55.5% final-match confidence. This is a probability read, not a certainty.
Finalist
Sahra Dennehy / Danni-Elle Townsend
Projected runner-up path >
Sahra Dennehy / Danni-Elle Townsend reaches the final in the model path. This is a clean name to track for market questions and upset exposure.
Semifinalists
Hannah Blatt / Olivia McMillan / Christa Gecheva / Albie Huang
Late-round pressure spots >
Hannah Blatt / Olivia McMillan and Christa Gecheva / Albie Huang appear in the projected semifinal path, which is where the bracket starts producing useful market tension.
Dark Horse
Layne Sleeth / Isabella Dunlap
Upset or contender watch >
Layne Sleeth / Isabella Dunlap is the name the model surfaces outside the obvious final path. Worth watching before prices harden.
Markets Official bracket
Mixed Doubles
Clayton Powell / Danni-Elle Townsend Is the Model's Pick
Projected final: Clayton Powell / Danni-Elle Townsend over Tyler Loong / Layne Sleeth at 59.6% model confidence. That grades as thin edge, so treat the draw with the right amount of uncertainty.
Winner
Clayton Powell / Danni-Elle Townsend
SR 1594 · Thin edge final confidence >
The model projects Clayton Powell / Danni-Elle Townsend through a final against Tyler Loong / Layne Sleeth with 59.6% final-match confidence. This is a probability read, not a certainty.
Finalist
Tyler Loong / Layne Sleeth
Projected runner-up path >
Tyler Loong / Layne Sleeth reaches the final in the model path. This is a clean name to track for market questions and upset exposure.
Semifinalists
Nicolas Acevedo / Isabella Dunlap / Zoey Weil / Michael Loyd
Late-round pressure spots >
Nicolas Acevedo / Isabella Dunlap and Zoey Weil / Michael Loyd appear in the projected semifinal path, which is where the bracket starts producing useful market tension.
Dark Horse
Cailyn Campbell / Blaine Hovenier
Upset or contender watch >
Cailyn Campbell / Blaine Hovenier is the name the model surfaces outside the obvious final path. Worth watching before prices harden.
Markets Official bracket
Sheet Rating™ v2.3 · Recalibrated: loading...