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The Numbers Behind Every Match

Model-generated fair odds, win probabilities, and edge analysis for every matchup

For entertainment and analytical purposes. No real-money wagering facilitated.

Odds Converter

Convert between American odds, decimal odds, fractional odds, and implied probability.

Model Performance

76.5%
Overall Accuracy
2,140 / 2,799 predictions correct
73.5%
Latest Tournament
The Carvana Masters 2026 (Week 2)
44
Tournaments Tracked
Since 2025 season

Hypothetical: $100 Flat Bets on Every Model Pick

If you placed $100 on our model's favorite in every match at our fair odds:

Glossary

American Odds

Expressed as + or - numbers. -150 means bet $150 to win $100. +130 means bet $100 to win $130. Negative = favorite, positive = underdog.

Implied Probability

The win percentage derived from odds. -150 implies ~60% win probability. The "true" chance the odds represent.

Edge

The difference between a model's estimated probability and the implied probability of the odds. A positive edge suggests value.

Sheet Rating™

A numerical rating system (like chess) that adjusts after every match. Higher SR™ = stronger player. Our model uses Sheet Rating™ as a core input.

Closing Line Value (CLV)

Getting better odds than the final ("closing") line. Consistently beating the closing line is the hallmark of a sharp bettor.

Expected Value (EV)

The average amount you'd win or lose per bet over time. Positive EV (+EV) means a bet is profitable long-term.

Vig / Juice

The sportsbook's commission built into the odds. Standard vig is ~10% (e.g., -110 on both sides). Our odds are "fair" — no vig included.

Sheet Rating™ v2.3 · Recalibrated: loading...