PPA and MLP paper betting lines with model probability, implied price, edge delta, uncertainty flags, and pass states for every matchup
For decision support and analytical purposes. No real-money trading, custody, or settlement.
Convert between American odds, decimal odds, fractional odds, and implied probability.
If you tracked $100 units on the model favorite in every match at fair odds:
Expressed as + or - numbers. -150 means bet $150 to win $100. +130 means bet $100 to win $130. Negative = favorite, positive = underdog.
The win percentage derived from odds. -150 implies ~60% win probability. The "true" chance the odds represent.
The difference between a model's estimated probability and the implied probability of the odds. A positive edge suggests value.
A numerical rating system (like chess) that adjusts after every match. Higher SR™ = stronger player. Our model uses Sheet Rating™ as a core input.
Getting better odds than the final ("closing") line. Consistently beating the closing line is the hallmark of a sharp bettor.
The average amount you'd win or lose per bet over time. Positive EV (+EV) means a bet is profitable long-term.
The market operator spread built into quoted odds. Our model prices are fair probabilities with no operator spread included.