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Projected Picks

MLP Dallas — Bracket Predictions

Five pro draws, current bracket paths, and Sheet Rating probabilities. This reads like a pick sheet first; the full model path is one click deeper.

Men's Doubles
Gabriel Tardio / Hayden Patriquin
SR 1958 · Strong
Women's Doubles
Anna Leigh Waters / Jorja Johnson
SR 1933 · Lean
Mixed Doubles
Anna Bright / Hayden Patriquin
SR 1911 · Thin edge
How To Read This

Projected path, not official result

The winner card is the model's bracket pick. Final confidence below 60% is a thin edge, 60-69% is a lean, and 70%+ is strong. Official brackets remain the source of truth.

Generated Aug 4, 8:15 PM EDT mlp_orlando_draws.json
Market Read

Start with uncertainty

Close finals and upset paths are better prediction-market candidates than obvious favorites. Use the path button on each draw to see where the model thinks pressure shows up.

Men's Doubles
Gabriel Tardio / Hayden Patriquin Is the Model's Pick
Projected final: Gabriel Tardio / Hayden Patriquin over Max Freeman / Ben Johns at 72.4% model confidence. That grades as strong, so treat the draw with the right amount of uncertainty.
Winner
Gabriel Tardio / Hayden Patriquin
SR 1958 · Strong final confidence >
The model projects Gabriel Tardio / Hayden Patriquin through a final against Max Freeman / Ben Johns with 72.4% final-match confidence. This is a probability read, not a certainty.
Finalist
Max Freeman / Ben Johns
Projected runner-up path >
Max Freeman / Ben Johns reaches the final in the model path. This is a clean name to track for market questions and upset exposure.
Semifinalists
Noe Khlif / Federico Staksrud / Christian Alshon / Riley Newman
Late-round pressure spots >
Noe Khlif / Federico Staksrud and Christian Alshon / Riley Newman appear in the projected semifinal path, which is where the bracket starts producing useful market tension.
Dark Horse
Hayden Patriquin / Gabriel Tardio
Upset or contender watch >
Hayden Patriquin / Gabriel Tardio is the name the model surfaces outside the obvious final path. Worth watching before prices harden.
Markets Official bracket
Women's Doubles
Anna Leigh Waters / Jorja Johnson Is the Model's Pick
Projected final: Anna Leigh Waters / Jorja Johnson over Anna Bright / Kate Fahey at 67.2% model confidence. That grades as lean, so treat the draw with the right amount of uncertainty.
Winner
Anna Leigh Waters / Jorja Johnson
SR 1933 · Lean final confidence >
The model projects Anna Leigh Waters / Jorja Johnson through a final against Anna Bright / Kate Fahey with 67.2% final-match confidence. This is a probability read, not a certainty.
Finalist
Anna Bright / Kate Fahey
Projected runner-up path >
Anna Bright / Kate Fahey reaches the final in the model path. This is a clean name to track for market questions and upset exposure.
Semifinalists
Catherine Parenteau / Jade Kawamoto / Alex Walker / Lacy Schneemann
Late-round pressure spots >
Catherine Parenteau / Jade Kawamoto and Alex Walker / Lacy Schneemann appear in the projected semifinal path, which is where the bracket starts producing useful market tension.
Dark Horse
Sofia Sewing / Tina Pisnik
Upset or contender watch >
Sofia Sewing / Tina Pisnik is the name the model surfaces outside the obvious final path. Worth watching before prices harden.
Markets Official bracket
Mixed Doubles
Anna Bright / Hayden Patriquin Is the Model's Pick
Projected final: Anna Bright / Hayden Patriquin over Jade Kawamoto / Ben Johns at 51.3% model confidence. That grades as thin edge, so treat the draw with the right amount of uncertainty.
Winner
Anna Bright / Hayden Patriquin
SR 1911 · Thin edge final confidence >
The model projects Anna Bright / Hayden Patriquin through a final against Jade Kawamoto / Ben Johns with 51.3% final-match confidence. This is a probability read, not a certainty.
Finalist
Jade Kawamoto / Ben Johns
Projected runner-up path >
Jade Kawamoto / Ben Johns reaches the final in the model path. This is a clean name to track for market questions and upset exposure.
Semifinalists
Anna Leigh Waters / Noe Khlif / Jorja Johnson / Federico Staksrud
Late-round pressure spots >
Anna Leigh Waters / Noe Khlif and Jorja Johnson / Federico Staksrud appear in the projected semifinal path, which is where the bracket starts producing useful market tension.
Dark Horse
Rachel Rohrabacher / Christian Alshon
Upset or contender watch >
Rachel Rohrabacher / Christian Alshon is the name the model surfaces outside the obvious final path. Worth watching before prices harden.
Markets Official bracket
Sheet Rating™ v2.3 · Recalibrated: loading...