MLP Dallas (Nations Cup) — Bracket Predictions
Five pro draws, current bracket paths, and Sheet Rating probabilities. This reads like a pick sheet first; the full model path is one click deeper.
How To Read This
Projected path, not official result
The winner card is the model's bracket pick. Final confidence below 60% is a thin edge, 60-69% is a lean, and 70%+ is strong. Official brackets remain the source of truth.
Generated Aug 18, 8:15 PM EDT
mlp_newport_beach_playoffs_draws.json
Market Read
Start with uncertainty
Close finals and upset paths are better prediction-market candidates than obvious favorites. Use the path button on each draw to see where the model thinks pressure shows up.
Men's Doubles
Gabriel Tardio / Hayden Patriquin Is the Model's Pick
Projected final: Gabriel Tardio / Hayden Patriquin over CJ Klinger / Andrei Daescu at 58.1% model confidence. That grades as thin edge, so treat the draw with the right amount of uncertainty.
Winner
Gabriel Tardio / Hayden Patriquin
The model projects Gabriel Tardio / Hayden Patriquin through a final against CJ Klinger / Andrei Daescu with 58.1% final-match confidence. This is a probability read, not a certainty.
Finalist
CJ Klinger / Andrei Daescu
CJ Klinger / Andrei Daescu reaches the final in the model path. This is a clean name to track for market questions and upset exposure.
Semifinalists
Christian Alshon / Riley Newman / Casey Diamond / Dekel Bar
Christian Alshon / Riley Newman and Casey Diamond / Dekel Bar appear in the projected semifinal path, which is where the bracket starts producing useful market tension.
Dark Horse
Andrei Daescu / CJ Klinger
Andrei Daescu / CJ Klinger is the name the model surfaces outside the obvious final path. Worth watching before prices harden.
Quarterfinals 4 projected matches
Gabriel Tardio / Hayden Patriquin
vs
Federico Staksrud / Will Howells
79.6%
Augustus Ge / JW Johnson
vs
Christian Alshon / Riley Newman
57.3%
Eric Oncins / Nicolas Acevedo
vs
Casey Diamond / Dekel Bar
74.3%
Ben Johns / Max Freeman
vs
CJ Klinger / Andrei Daescu
65.4%
Semifinals 2 projected matches
Gabriel Tardio / Hayden Patriquin
vs
Christian Alshon / Riley Newman
75%
Casey Diamond / Dekel Bar
vs
CJ Klinger / Andrei Daescu
86.4%
Finals 1 projected match
Gabriel Tardio / Hayden Patriquin
vs
CJ Klinger / Andrei Daescu
58.1%
Women's Doubles
Anna Leigh Waters / Jorja Johnson Is the Model's Pick
Projected final: Anna Leigh Waters / Jorja Johnson over Jorja Johnson / Anna Leigh Waters at 50% model confidence. That grades as thin edge, so treat the draw with the right amount of uncertainty.
Winner
Anna Leigh Waters / Jorja Johnson
The model projects Anna Leigh Waters / Jorja Johnson through a final against Jorja Johnson / Anna Leigh Waters with 50% final-match confidence. This is a probability read, not a certainty.
Finalist
Jorja Johnson / Anna Leigh Waters
Jorja Johnson / Anna Leigh Waters reaches the final in the model path. This is a clean name to track for market questions and upset exposure.
Semifinalists
Rachel Rohrabacher / Jackie Kawamoto / Sofia Sewing / Tina Pisnik
Rachel Rohrabacher / Jackie Kawamoto and Sofia Sewing / Tina Pisnik appear in the projected semifinal path, which is where the bracket starts producing useful market tension.
Dark Horse
Parris Todd / Tyra Hurricane Black
Parris Todd / Tyra Hurricane Black is the name the model surfaces outside the obvious final path. Worth watching before prices harden.
Quarterfinals 4 projected matches
Anna Bright / Kate Fahey
vs
Anna Leigh Waters / Jorja Johnson
67.2%
Alix Truong / Danni-Elle Townsend
vs
Rachel Rohrabacher / Jackie Kawamoto
79.9%
Kaitlyn Christian / Lea Jansen
vs
Sofia Sewing / Tina Pisnik
60.5%
Catherine Parenteau / Jade Kawamoto
vs
Jorja Johnson / Anna Leigh Waters
67.8%
Semifinals 2 projected matches
Anna Leigh Waters / Jorja Johnson
vs
Rachel Rohrabacher / Jackie Kawamoto
69.1%
Sofia Sewing / Tina Pisnik
vs
Jorja Johnson / Anna Leigh Waters
75.9%
Finals 1 projected match
Anna Leigh Waters / Jorja Johnson
vs
Jorja Johnson / Anna Leigh Waters
50%
Mixed Doubles
Anna Bright / Hayden Patriquin Is the Model's Pick
Projected final: Anna Bright / Hayden Patriquin over Jade Kawamoto / Ben Johns at 51.3% model confidence. That grades as thin edge, so treat the draw with the right amount of uncertainty.
Winner
Anna Bright / Hayden Patriquin
The model projects Anna Bright / Hayden Patriquin through a final against Jade Kawamoto / Ben Johns with 51.3% final-match confidence. This is a probability read, not a certainty.
Finalist
Jade Kawamoto / Ben Johns
Jade Kawamoto / Ben Johns reaches the final in the model path. This is a clean name to track for market questions and upset exposure.
Semifinalists
Rachel Rohrabacher / Christian Alshon / Tina Pisnik / Dekel Bar
Rachel Rohrabacher / Christian Alshon and Tina Pisnik / Dekel Bar appear in the projected semifinal path, which is where the bracket starts producing useful market tension.
Dark Horse
Anna Leigh Waters / Noe Khlif
Anna Leigh Waters / Noe Khlif is the name the model surfaces outside the obvious final path. Worth watching before prices harden.
Quarterfinals 4 projected matches
Anna Bright / Hayden Patriquin
vs
Anna Leigh Waters / Noe Khlif
52.2%
Brooke Buckner / JW Johnson
vs
Rachel Rohrabacher / Christian Alshon
52.5%
Lea Jansen / Eric Oncins
vs
Tina Pisnik / Dekel Bar
57.6%
Jade Kawamoto / Ben Johns
vs
Parris Todd / Andrei Daescu
58.6%
Semifinals 2 projected matches
Anna Bright / Hayden Patriquin
vs
Rachel Rohrabacher / Christian Alshon
63.8%
Tina Pisnik / Dekel Bar
vs
Jade Kawamoto / Ben Johns
66.9%
Finals 1 projected match
Anna Bright / Hayden Patriquin
vs
Jade Kawamoto / Ben Johns
51.3%
