MLP Austin — Bracket Predictions
Five pro draws, current bracket paths, and Sheet Rating probabilities. This reads like a pick sheet first; the full model path is one click deeper.
How To Read This
Projected path, not official result
The winner card is the model's bracket pick. Final confidence below 60% is a thin edge, 60-69% is a lean, and 70%+ is strong. Official brackets remain the source of truth.
Generated Aug 4, 8:15 PM EDT
mlp_orlando_draws.json
Market Read
Start with uncertainty
Close finals and upset paths are better prediction-market candidates than obvious favorites. Use the path button on each draw to see where the model thinks pressure shows up.
Men's Doubles
Gabriel Tardio / Hayden Patriquin Is the Model's Pick
Projected final: Gabriel Tardio / Hayden Patriquin over Max Freeman / Ben Johns at 72.4% model confidence. That grades as strong, so treat the draw with the right amount of uncertainty.
Winner
Gabriel Tardio / Hayden Patriquin
The model projects Gabriel Tardio / Hayden Patriquin through a final against Max Freeman / Ben Johns with 72.4% final-match confidence. This is a probability read, not a certainty.
Finalist
Max Freeman / Ben Johns
Max Freeman / Ben Johns reaches the final in the model path. This is a clean name to track for market questions and upset exposure.
Semifinalists
Noe Khlif / Federico Staksrud / Christian Alshon / Riley Newman
Noe Khlif / Federico Staksrud and Christian Alshon / Riley Newman appear in the projected semifinal path, which is where the bracket starts producing useful market tension.
Dark Horse
Hayden Patriquin / Gabriel Tardio
Hayden Patriquin / Gabriel Tardio is the name the model surfaces outside the obvious final path. Worth watching before prices harden.
Quarterfinals 4 projected matches
Pablo Tellez / Dylan Frazier
vs
Max Freeman / Ben Johns
58.1%
Noe Khlif / Federico Staksrud
vs
Federico Staksrud / Will Howells
54.3%
Christian Alshon / Riley Newman
vs
Will Howells / Federico Staksrud
56.5%
Gabriel Tardio / Hayden Patriquin
vs
Dylan Frazier / Pablo Tellez
78.4%
Semifinals 2 projected matches
Max Freeman / Ben Johns
vs
Noe Khlif / Federico Staksrud
55.5%
Christian Alshon / Riley Newman
vs
Gabriel Tardio / Hayden Patriquin
75%
Finals 1 projected match
Max Freeman / Ben Johns
vs
Gabriel Tardio / Hayden Patriquin
72.4%
Women's Doubles
Anna Leigh Waters / Jorja Johnson Is the Model's Pick
Projected final: Anna Leigh Waters / Jorja Johnson over Anna Bright / Kate Fahey at 67.2% model confidence. That grades as lean, so treat the draw with the right amount of uncertainty.
Winner
Anna Leigh Waters / Jorja Johnson
The model projects Anna Leigh Waters / Jorja Johnson through a final against Anna Bright / Kate Fahey with 67.2% final-match confidence. This is a probability read, not a certainty.
Finalist
Anna Bright / Kate Fahey
Anna Bright / Kate Fahey reaches the final in the model path. This is a clean name to track for market questions and upset exposure.
Semifinalists
Catherine Parenteau / Jade Kawamoto / Alex Walker / Lacy Schneemann
Catherine Parenteau / Jade Kawamoto and Alex Walker / Lacy Schneemann appear in the projected semifinal path, which is where the bracket starts producing useful market tension.
Dark Horse
Sofia Sewing / Tina Pisnik
Sofia Sewing / Tina Pisnik is the name the model surfaces outside the obvious final path. Worth watching before prices harden.
Quarterfinals 4 projected matches
Allison Phillips / Daria Walczak
vs
Catherine Parenteau / Jade Kawamoto
76%
Estee Widdershoven / Isabella Dunlap
vs
Anna Leigh Waters / Jorja Johnson
91.2%
Alex Walker / Lacy Schneemann
vs
Elsie Hendershot / Ting Chieh Wei
72.6%
Anna Bright / Kate Fahey
vs
Chao Yi Wang / Callie Smith
76.8%
Semifinals 2 projected matches
Catherine Parenteau / Jade Kawamoto
vs
Anna Leigh Waters / Jorja Johnson
67.8%
Alex Walker / Lacy Schneemann
vs
Anna Bright / Kate Fahey
71.4%
Finals 1 projected match
Anna Leigh Waters / Jorja Johnson
vs
Anna Bright / Kate Fahey
67.2%
Mixed Doubles
Anna Bright / Hayden Patriquin Is the Model's Pick
Projected final: Anna Bright / Hayden Patriquin over Jade Kawamoto / Ben Johns at 51.3% model confidence. That grades as thin edge, so treat the draw with the right amount of uncertainty.
Winner
Anna Bright / Hayden Patriquin
The model projects Anna Bright / Hayden Patriquin through a final against Jade Kawamoto / Ben Johns with 51.3% final-match confidence. This is a probability read, not a certainty.
Finalist
Jade Kawamoto / Ben Johns
Jade Kawamoto / Ben Johns reaches the final in the model path. This is a clean name to track for market questions and upset exposure.
Semifinalists
Anna Leigh Waters / Noe Khlif / Jorja Johnson / Federico Staksrud
Anna Leigh Waters / Noe Khlif and Jorja Johnson / Federico Staksrud appear in the projected semifinal path, which is where the bracket starts producing useful market tension.
Dark Horse
Rachel Rohrabacher / Christian Alshon
Rachel Rohrabacher / Christian Alshon is the name the model surfaces outside the obvious final path. Worth watching before prices harden.
Quarterfinals 4 projected matches
Lacy Schneemann / Jack Sock
vs
Jade Kawamoto / Ben Johns
78.5%
Jade Kawamoto / Connor Garnett
vs
Anna Leigh Waters / Noe Khlif
78.2%
Kate Fahey / Gabriel Tardio
vs
Jorja Johnson / Federico Staksrud
57%
Anna Bright / Hayden Patriquin
vs
Zoey Weil / Pablo Tellez
85.8%
Semifinals 2 projected matches
Jade Kawamoto / Ben Johns
vs
Anna Leigh Waters / Noe Khlif
50.9%
Jorja Johnson / Federico Staksrud
vs
Anna Bright / Hayden Patriquin
59.8%
Finals 1 projected match
Jade Kawamoto / Ben Johns
vs
Anna Bright / Hayden Patriquin
51.3%
