↓ Brittni Tonnessen ↓ -283.5 ELO ↓ Katherine Allan ↓ -208.2 ELO ↓ Sydney Sonday ↓ -197.9 ELO 🎯 77.5% Model Accuracy · 218 matches 👑 Anna Leigh Waters · 2069 ELO 👑 Ben Johns · 2015 ELO 👑 Andrei Daescu · 1931 ELO 👑 Anna Bright · 1902 ELO 👑 Gabriel Tardio · 1895 ELO ↓ Brittni Tonnessen ↓ -283.5 ELO ↓ Katherine Allan ↓ -208.2 ELO ↓ Sydney Sonday ↓ -197.9 ELO 🎯 77.5% Model Accuracy · 218 matches 👑 Anna Leigh Waters · 2069 ELO 👑 Ben Johns · 2015 ELO 👑 Andrei Daescu · 1931 ELO 👑 Anna Bright · 1902 ELO 👑 Gabriel Tardio · 1895 ELO
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Projected Picks

Carvana Mesa Cup — Bracket Predictions

Five pro draws, current bracket paths, and Sheet Rating probabilities. This reads like a pick sheet first; the full model path is one click deeper.

Official Brackets Today's Picks Market Desk
Men's Doubles
Augustus Ge / JW Johnson
SR 1715 · Thin edge
Women's Doubles
Sofia Sewing / Tina Pisnik
SR 1733 · Lean
Mixed Doubles
Brooke Buckner / JW Johnson
SR 1796 · Thin edge
How To Read This

Projected path, not official result

The winner card is the model's bracket pick. Final confidence below 60% is a thin edge, 60-69% is a lean, and 70%+ is strong. Official brackets remain the source of truth.

Generated Aug 6, 10:55 PM EDT mlp_dallas_playoffs_draws.json
Market Read

Start with uncertainty

Close finals and upset paths are better prediction-market candidates than obvious favorites. Use the path button on each draw to see where the model thinks pressure shows up.

Men's Doubles
Augustus Ge / JW Johnson Is the Model's Pick
Projected final: Augustus Ge / JW Johnson over Jaume Martinez Vich / Jay Devilliers at 59.3% model confidence. That grades as thin edge, so treat the draw with the right amount of uncertainty.
Winner
Augustus Ge / JW Johnson
SR 1715 · Thin edge final confidence >
The model projects Augustus Ge / JW Johnson through a final against Jaume Martinez Vich / Jay Devilliers with 59.3% final-match confidence. This is a probability read, not a certainty.
Finalist
Jaume Martinez Vich / Jay Devilliers
Projected runner-up path >
Jaume Martinez Vich / Jay Devilliers reaches the final in the model path. This is a clean name to track for market questions and upset exposure.
Semifinalists
Casey Diamond / Dekel Bar / John Lucian Goins / Zane Navratil
Late-round pressure spots >
Casey Diamond / Dekel Bar and John Lucian Goins / Zane Navratil appear in the projected semifinal path, which is where the bracket starts producing useful market tension.
Dark Horse
Clayton Powell / Roscoe Bellamy
Upset or contender watch >
Clayton Powell / Roscoe Bellamy is the name the model surfaces outside the obvious final path. Worth watching before prices harden.
Markets Official bracket
Women's Doubles
Sofia Sewing / Tina Pisnik Is the Model's Pick
Projected final: Sofia Sewing / Tina Pisnik over Kaitlyn Christian / Lea Jansen at 60.5% model confidence. That grades as lean, so treat the draw with the right amount of uncertainty.
Winner
Sofia Sewing / Tina Pisnik
SR 1733 · Lean final confidence >
The model projects Sofia Sewing / Tina Pisnik through a final against Kaitlyn Christian / Lea Jansen with 60.5% final-match confidence. This is a probability read, not a certainty.
Finalist
Kaitlyn Christian / Lea Jansen
Projected runner-up path >
Kaitlyn Christian / Lea Jansen reaches the final in the model path. This is a clean name to track for market questions and upset exposure.
Semifinalists
Jessie Irvine / Mari Humberg / Elsie Hendershot / Ting Chieh Wei
Late-round pressure spots >
Jessie Irvine / Mari Humberg and Elsie Hendershot / Ting Chieh Wei appear in the projected semifinal path, which is where the bracket starts producing useful market tension.
Dark Horse
Callie Smith / Chao Yi Wang
Upset or contender watch >
Callie Smith / Chao Yi Wang is the name the model surfaces outside the obvious final path. Worth watching before prices harden.
Markets Official bracket
Mixed Doubles
Brooke Buckner / JW Johnson Is the Model's Pick
Projected final: Brooke Buckner / JW Johnson over Tina Pisnik / Dekel Bar at 52.3% model confidence. That grades as thin edge, so treat the draw with the right amount of uncertainty.
Winner
Brooke Buckner / JW Johnson
SR 1796 · Thin edge final confidence >
The model projects Brooke Buckner / JW Johnson through a final against Tina Pisnik / Dekel Bar with 52.3% final-match confidence. This is a probability read, not a certainty.
Finalist
Tina Pisnik / Dekel Bar
Projected runner-up path >
Tina Pisnik / Dekel Bar reaches the final in the model path. This is a clean name to track for market questions and upset exposure.
Semifinalists
Jessie Irvine / Jay Devilliers / Liz Truluck / Clayton Powell
Late-round pressure spots >
Jessie Irvine / Jay Devilliers and Liz Truluck / Clayton Powell appear in the projected semifinal path, which is where the bracket starts producing useful market tension.
Dark Horse
Lea Jansen / Eric Oncins
Upset or contender watch >
Lea Jansen / Eric Oncins is the name the model surfaces outside the obvious final path. Worth watching before prices harden.
Markets Official bracket
Sheet Rating™ v2.3 · Recalibrated: loading...