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Projected Picks

PPA Cape Coral Championship — Bracket Predictions

Five pro draws, current bracket paths, and Sheet Rating probabilities. This reads like a pick sheet first; the full model path is one click deeper.

Men's Doubles
Riley Newman / Christian Alshon
SR 1767 · Thin edge
Women's Doubles
Jackie Kawamoto / Rachel Rohrabacher
SR 1793 · Lean
Mixed Doubles
Rachel Rohrabacher / Christian Alshon
SR 1813 · Thin edge
How To Read This

Projected path, not official result

The winner card is the model's bracket pick. Final confidence below 60% is a thin edge, 60-69% is a lean, and 70%+ is strong. Official brackets remain the source of truth.

Generated Aug 10, 10:35 AM EDT mlp_dallas_playoffs_draws.json
Market Read

Start with uncertainty

Close finals and upset paths are better prediction-market candidates than obvious favorites. Use the path button on each draw to see where the model thinks pressure shows up.

Men's Doubles
Riley Newman / Christian Alshon Is the Model's Pick
Projected final: Riley Newman / Christian Alshon over Augustus Ge / JW Johnson at 57.3% model confidence. That grades as thin edge, so treat the draw with the right amount of uncertainty.
Winner
Riley Newman / Christian Alshon
SR 1767 · Thin edge final confidence >
The model projects Riley Newman / Christian Alshon through a final against Augustus Ge / JW Johnson with 57.3% final-match confidence. This is a probability read, not a certainty.
Finalist
Augustus Ge / JW Johnson
Projected runner-up path >
Augustus Ge / JW Johnson reaches the final in the model path. This is a clean name to track for market questions and upset exposure.
Semifinalists
Jaume Martinez Vich / Jay Devilliers / John Lucian Goins / Zane Navratil
Late-round pressure spots >
Jaume Martinez Vich / Jay Devilliers and John Lucian Goins / Zane Navratil appear in the projected semifinal path, which is where the bracket starts producing useful market tension.
Dark Horse
Clayton Powell / Roscoe Bellamy
Upset or contender watch >
Clayton Powell / Roscoe Bellamy is the name the model surfaces outside the obvious final path. Worth watching before prices harden.
Markets Official bracket
Women's Doubles
Jackie Kawamoto / Rachel Rohrabacher Is the Model's Pick
Projected final: Jackie Kawamoto / Rachel Rohrabacher over Kaitlyn Christian / Lea Jansen at 68.4% model confidence. That grades as lean, so treat the draw with the right amount of uncertainty.
Winner
Jackie Kawamoto / Rachel Rohrabacher
SR 1793 · Lean final confidence >
The model projects Jackie Kawamoto / Rachel Rohrabacher through a final against Kaitlyn Christian / Lea Jansen with 68.4% final-match confidence. This is a probability read, not a certainty.
Finalist
Kaitlyn Christian / Lea Jansen
Projected runner-up path >
Kaitlyn Christian / Lea Jansen reaches the final in the model path. This is a clean name to track for market questions and upset exposure.
Semifinalists
Jessie Irvine / Mari Humberg / Meghan Dizon / Cailyn Campbell
Late-round pressure spots >
Jessie Irvine / Mari Humberg and Meghan Dizon / Cailyn Campbell appear in the projected semifinal path, which is where the bracket starts producing useful market tension.
Dark Horse
Sofia Sewing / Tina Pisnik
Upset or contender watch >
Sofia Sewing / Tina Pisnik is the name the model surfaces outside the obvious final path. Worth watching before prices harden.
Markets Official bracket
Mixed Doubles
Rachel Rohrabacher / Christian Alshon Is the Model's Pick
Projected final: Rachel Rohrabacher / Christian Alshon over Brooke Buckner / JW Johnson at 52.5% model confidence. That grades as thin edge, so treat the draw with the right amount of uncertainty.
Winner
Rachel Rohrabacher / Christian Alshon
SR 1813 · Thin edge final confidence >
The model projects Rachel Rohrabacher / Christian Alshon through a final against Brooke Buckner / JW Johnson with 52.5% final-match confidence. This is a probability read, not a certainty.
Finalist
Brooke Buckner / JW Johnson
Projected runner-up path >
Brooke Buckner / JW Johnson reaches the final in the model path. This is a clean name to track for market questions and upset exposure.
Semifinalists
Jessie Irvine / Jay Devilliers / Meghan Dizon / Rafael Lenhard
Late-round pressure spots >
Jessie Irvine / Jay Devilliers and Meghan Dizon / Rafael Lenhard appear in the projected semifinal path, which is where the bracket starts producing useful market tension.
Dark Horse
Tina Pisnik / Dekel Bar
Upset or contender watch >
Tina Pisnik / Dekel Bar is the name the model surfaces outside the obvious final path. Worth watching before prices harden.
Markets Official bracket
Sheet Rating™ v2.3 · Recalibrated: loading...