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Projected Picks

Atlanta Championships — Bracket Predictions

Five pro draws, current bracket paths, and Sheet Rating probabilities. This reads like a pick sheet first; the full model path is one click deeper.

Men's Singles
Hunter Johnson
SR 1871 · Thin edge
Women's Singles
Anna Leigh Waters
SR 2031 · Strong
Men's Doubles
Ben Johns / Gabriel Tardio
SR 2026 · Lean
Women's Doubles
Anna Leigh Waters / Anna Bright
SR 2016 · Strong
Mixed Doubles
Anna Leigh Waters / Ben Johns
SR 2074 · Strong
How To Read This

Projected path, not official result

The winner card is the model's bracket pick. Final confidence below 60% is a thin edge, 60-69% is a lean, and 70%+ is strong. Official brackets remain the source of truth.

Generated Apr 29, 11:35 AM EDT atlanta_draws.json
Market Read

Start with uncertainty

Close finals and upset paths are better prediction-market candidates than obvious favorites. Use the path button on each draw to see where the model thinks pressure shows up.

Men's Singles
Hunter Johnson Is the Model's Pick
Projected final: Hunter Johnson over Christopher Haworth at 53.5% model confidence. That grades as thin edge, so treat the draw with the right amount of uncertainty.
Winner
Hunter Johnson
SR 1871 · Thin edge final confidence >
The model projects Hunter Johnson through a final against Christopher Haworth with 53.5% final-match confidence. This is a probability read, not a certainty.
Finalist
Christopher Haworth
Projected runner-up path >
Christopher Haworth reaches the final in the model path. This is a clean name to track for market questions and upset exposure.
Semifinalists
Christian Alshon / Federico Staksrud
Late-round pressure spots >
Christian Alshon and Federico Staksrud appear in the projected semifinal path, which is where the bracket starts producing useful market tension.
Dark Horse
Gabriel Joseph
Upset or contender watch >
Gabriel Joseph is the name the model surfaces outside the obvious final path. Worth watching before prices harden.
Markets Official bracket
Women's Singles
Anna Leigh Waters Is the Model's Pick
Projected final: Anna Leigh Waters over Kate Fahey at 74.1% model confidence. That grades as strong, so treat the draw with the right amount of uncertainty.
Winner
Anna Leigh Waters
SR 2031 · Strong final confidence >
The model projects Anna Leigh Waters through a final against Kate Fahey with 74.1% final-match confidence. This is a probability read, not a certainty.
Finalist
Kate Fahey
Projected runner-up path >
Kate Fahey reaches the final in the model path. This is a clean name to track for market questions and upset exposure.
Semifinalists
Brooke Buckner / Lea Jansen
Late-round pressure spots >
Brooke Buckner and Lea Jansen appear in the projected semifinal path, which is where the bracket starts producing useful market tension.
Dark Horse
Kaitlyn Christian
Upset or contender watch >
Kaitlyn Christian is the name the model surfaces outside the obvious final path. Worth watching before prices harden.
Markets Official bracket
Men's Doubles
Ben Johns / Gabriel Tardio Is the Model's Pick
Projected final: Ben Johns / Gabriel Tardio over Christian Alshon / Hayden Patriquin at 68.3% model confidence. That grades as lean, so treat the draw with the right amount of uncertainty.
Winner
Ben Johns / Gabriel Tardio
SR 2026 · Lean final confidence >
The model projects Ben Johns / Gabriel Tardio through a final against Christian Alshon / Hayden Patriquin with 68.3% final-match confidence. This is a probability read, not a certainty.
Finalist
Christian Alshon / Hayden Patriquin
Projected runner-up path >
Christian Alshon / Hayden Patriquin reaches the final in the model path. This is a clean name to track for market questions and upset exposure.
Semifinalists
Federico Staksrud / Andrei Daescu / Eric Oncins / Dylan Frazier
Late-round pressure spots >
Federico Staksrud / Andrei Daescu and Eric Oncins / Dylan Frazier appear in the projected semifinal path, which is where the bracket starts producing useful market tension.
Dark Horse
Jack Sock / Blaine Hovenier
Upset or contender watch >
Jack Sock / Blaine Hovenier is the name the model surfaces outside the obvious final path. Worth watching before prices harden.
Markets Official bracket
Women's Doubles
Anna Leigh Waters / Anna Bright Is the Model's Pick
Projected final: Anna Leigh Waters / Anna Bright over Catherine Parenteau / Rachel Rohrabacher at 77.6% model confidence. That grades as strong, so treat the draw with the right amount of uncertainty.
Winner
Anna Leigh Waters / Anna Bright
SR 2016 · Strong final confidence >
The model projects Anna Leigh Waters / Anna Bright through a final against Catherine Parenteau / Rachel Rohrabacher with 77.6% final-match confidence. This is a probability read, not a certainty.
Finalist
Catherine Parenteau / Rachel Rohrabacher
Projected runner-up path >
Catherine Parenteau / Rachel Rohrabacher reaches the final in the model path. This is a clean name to track for market questions and upset exposure.
Semifinalists
Kate Fahey / Parris Todd / Hurricane Tyra Black / Jorja Johnson
Late-round pressure spots >
Kate Fahey / Parris Todd and Hurricane Tyra Black / Jorja Johnson appear in the projected semifinal path, which is where the bracket starts producing useful market tension.
Dark Horse
Mari Humberg / Liz Truluck
Upset or contender watch >
Mari Humberg / Liz Truluck is the name the model surfaces outside the obvious final path. Worth watching before prices harden.
Markets Official bracket
Mixed Doubles
Anna Leigh Waters / Ben Johns Is the Model's Pick
Projected final: Anna Leigh Waters / Ben Johns over JW Johnson / Jorja Johnson at 71% model confidence. That grades as strong, so treat the draw with the right amount of uncertainty.
Winner
Anna Leigh Waters / Ben Johns
SR 2074 · Strong final confidence >
The model projects Anna Leigh Waters / Ben Johns through a final against JW Johnson / Jorja Johnson with 71% final-match confidence. This is a probability read, not a certainty.
Finalist
JW Johnson / Jorja Johnson
Projected runner-up path >
JW Johnson / Jorja Johnson reaches the final in the model path. This is a clean name to track for market questions and upset exposure.
Semifinalists
Catherine Parenteau / Gabriel Tardio / Anna Bright / Hayden Patriquin
Late-round pressure spots >
Catherine Parenteau / Gabriel Tardio and Anna Bright / Hayden Patriquin appear in the projected semifinal path, which is where the bracket starts producing useful market tension.
Dark Horse
Andrei Daescu / Parris Todd
Upset or contender watch >
Andrei Daescu / Parris Todd is the name the model surfaces outside the obvious final path. Worth watching before prices harden.
Markets Official bracket
Sheet Rating™ v2.3 · Recalibrated: loading...