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Proof Of Edge

Receipts before the pick.

Every signal should answer two questions: what is the edge, and how has this model behaved when it had similar conviction?

match winner closed Toys "R" Us PPA Finals · PPA

Will Cailyn Campbell / Blaine Hovenier beat Nicolas Acevedo / Isabella Dunlap in MXD SF at Toys "R" Us PPA Finals?

Model
59.8% YES
Confidence
Lean
Market Interest
early market
This is the decision packet: probability, paper price, lock status, and source-of-truth criteria in one place.

Resolve YES if Cailyn Campbell / Blaine Hovenier is officially recorded as defeating Nicolas Acevedo / Isabella Dunlap in MXD SF at Toys "R" Us PPA Finals. Resolve NO if Nicolas Acevedo / Isabella Dunlap wins. Void only if the match is cancelled, materially re-seeded before play, or no official result is posted.

Cailyn Campbell / Blaine Hovenier60%DinkCoin price
Nicolas Acevedo / Isabella Dunlap40%DinkCoin price
59.8%
Model Probability
60%
Confidence
0
Paper Positions
0
DinkCoins

Resolution Notes

Source of truthOpen source
Model versionv2-enhanced
Market-ready checklist
  • Question, YES/NO outcomes, and paper prices are visible above.
  • Resolution criteria and source of truth are tied to official event results.
  • Model probability, confidence, DinkCoin interest, and position count are tracked.
  • Export package is ready for Polymarket review or API integration later.
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