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Proof Of Edge

Receipts before the pick.

Every signal should answer two questions: what is the edge, and how has this model behaved when it had similar conviction?

match winner closed Toys "R" Us PPA Finals · PPA

Will Paula Rives beat Bryanna Ojeda in WS R16 at Toys "R" Us PPA Finals?

Model
56.2% YES
Confidence
Pass
Market Interest
early market
This is the decision packet: probability, paper price, lock status, and source-of-truth criteria in one place.

Resolve YES if Paula Rives is officially recorded as defeating Bryanna Ojeda in WS R16 at Toys "R" Us PPA Finals. Resolve NO if Bryanna Ojeda wins. Void only if the match is cancelled, materially re-seeded before play, or no official result is posted.

Paula Rives56%DinkCoin price
Bryanna Ojeda44%DinkCoin price
56.2%
Model Probability
56%
Confidence
0
Paper Positions
0
DinkCoins

Resolution Notes

Source of truthOpen source
Model versionv2-enhanced
Market-ready checklist
  • Question, YES/NO outcomes, and paper prices are visible above.
  • Resolution criteria and source of truth are tied to official event results.
  • Model probability, confidence, DinkCoin interest, and position count are tracked.
  • Export package is ready for Polymarket review or API integration later.
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