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Proof Of Edge

Receipts before the pick.

Every signal should answer two questions: what is the edge, and how has this model behaved when it had similar conviction?

match winner closed Toys "R" Us PPA Finals · PPA

Will Cailyn Campbell / Naomi Nguyen beat Christa Gecheva / Albie Huang in WD R16 at Toys "R" Us PPA Finals?

Model
50.3% YES
Confidence
Pass
Market Interest
early market
This is the decision packet: probability, paper price, lock status, and source-of-truth criteria in one place.

Resolve YES if Cailyn Campbell / Naomi Nguyen is officially recorded as defeating Christa Gecheva / Albie Huang in WD R16 at Toys "R" Us PPA Finals. Resolve NO if Christa Gecheva / Albie Huang wins. Void only if the match is cancelled, materially re-seeded before play, or no official result is posted.

Cailyn Campbell / Naomi Nguyen50%DinkCoin price
Christa Gecheva / Albie Huang50%DinkCoin price
50.3%
Model Probability
50%
Confidence
0
Paper Positions
0
DinkCoins

Resolution Notes

Source of truthOpen source
Model versionv2-enhanced
Market-ready checklist
  • Question, YES/NO outcomes, and paper prices are visible above.
  • Resolution criteria and source of truth are tied to official event results.
  • Model probability, confidence, DinkCoin interest, and position count are tracked.
  • Export package is ready for Polymarket review or API integration later.
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