LIVE PPA Finals · D3 of 7 · May 7 (PDT) · R16 ▶ Watch ⚠️Updating…
Home
↑↓ navigateEnter goEsc close
← Back to prediction markets
Proof Of Edge

Receipts before the pick.

Every signal should answer two questions: what is the edge, and how has this model behaved when it had similar conviction?

match winner closed Toys "R" Us PPA Finals · PPA

Will Cailyn Campbell / Blaine Hovenier beat Kiora Kunimoto / Will Mackinnon in MXD R16 at Toys "R" Us PPA Finals?

Model
67.1% YES
Confidence
Strong
Market Interest
early market
This is the decision packet: probability, paper price, lock status, and source-of-truth criteria in one place.

Resolve YES if Cailyn Campbell / Blaine Hovenier is officially recorded as defeating Kiora Kunimoto / Will Mackinnon in MXD R16 at Toys "R" Us PPA Finals. Resolve NO if Kiora Kunimoto / Will Mackinnon wins. Void only if the match is cancelled, materially re-seeded before play, or no official result is posted.

Cailyn Campbell / Blaine Hovenier67%DinkCoin price
Kiora Kunimoto / Will Mackinnon33%DinkCoin price
67.1%
Model Probability
67%
Confidence
0
Paper Positions
0
DinkCoins

Resolution Notes

Source of truthOpen source
Model versionv2-enhanced
Market-ready checklist
  • Question, YES/NO outcomes, and paper prices are visible above.
  • Resolution criteria and source of truth are tied to official event results.
  • Model probability, confidence, DinkCoin interest, and position count are tracked.
  • Export package is ready for Polymarket review or API integration later.
Sheet Rating™ v2.3 · Recalibrated: loading...