match winner
closed
Toys "R" Us PPA Finals · PPA
Will Rafael Lenhard beat Michael Loyd in MS R16 at Toys "R" Us PPA Finals?
Model
57.4% YES
Confidence
Lean
Market Interest
early market
This is the decision packet: probability, paper price, lock status, and source-of-truth criteria in one place.
Resolve YES if Rafael Lenhard is officially recorded as defeating Michael Loyd in MS R16 at Toys "R" Us PPA Finals. Resolve NO if Michael Loyd wins. Void only if the match is cancelled, materially re-seeded before play, or no official result is posted.
Rafael Lenhard57%DinkCoin price
Michael Loyd43%DinkCoin price
57.4%
Model Probability
57%
Confidence
0
Paper Positions
0
DinkCoins
Resolution Notes
Source of truthOpen source
Model versionv2-enhanced
Market-ready checklist
- Question, YES/NO outcomes, and paper prices are visible above.
- Resolution criteria and source of truth are tied to official event results.
- Model probability, confidence, DinkCoin interest, and position count are tracked.
- Export package is ready for Polymarket review or API integration later.
