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Proof Of Edge

Receipts before the pick.

Every signal should answer two questions: what is the edge, and how has this model behaved when it had similar conviction?

match winner closed Toys "R" Us PPA Finals · PPA

Will Tama Shimabukuro beat Tom Protzek in MS R16 at Toys "R" Us PPA Finals?

Model
52.3% YES
Confidence
Pass
Market Interest
early market
This is the decision packet: probability, paper price, lock status, and source-of-truth criteria in one place.

Resolve YES if Tama Shimabukuro is officially recorded as defeating Tom Protzek in MS R16 at Toys "R" Us PPA Finals. Resolve NO if Tom Protzek wins. Void only if the match is cancelled, materially re-seeded before play, or no official result is posted.

Tama Shimabukuro52%DinkCoin price
Tom Protzek48%DinkCoin price
52.3%
Model Probability
52%
Confidence
0
Paper Positions
0
DinkCoins

Resolution Notes

Source of truthOpen source
Model versionv2-enhanced
Market-ready checklist
  • Question, YES/NO outcomes, and paper prices are visible above.
  • Resolution criteria and source of truth are tied to official event results.
  • Model probability, confidence, DinkCoin interest, and position count are tracked.
  • Export package is ready for Polymarket review or API integration later.
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