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Proof Of Edge

Receipts before the pick.

Every signal should answer two questions: what is the edge, and how has this model behaved when it had similar conviction?

match winner open Veolia Atlanta Pickleball Championships · PPA

Will Lea Jansen beat Judit Castillo in WS R16 at Veolia Atlanta Pickleball Championships?

Model
67.8% YES
Confidence
Strong
Market Interest
early market
This is the decision packet: probability, paper price, lock status, and source-of-truth criteria in one place.

Resolve YES if Lea Jansen is officially recorded as defeating Judit Castillo in WS R16 at Veolia Atlanta Pickleball Championships. Resolve NO if Judit Castillo wins. Void only if the match is cancelled, materially re-seeded before play, or no official result is posted.

Lea Jansen68%DinkCoin price
Judit Castillo32%DinkCoin price
67.8%
Model Probability
68%
Confidence
0
Paper Positions
0
DinkCoins

Resolution Notes

Source of truthOpen source
Model versionv2-enhanced
Market-ready checklist
  • Question, YES/NO outcomes, and paper prices are visible above.
  • Resolution criteria and source of truth are tied to official event results.
  • Model probability, confidence, DinkCoin interest, and position count are tracked.
  • Export package is ready for Polymarket review or API integration later.
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