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Proof Of Edge

Receipts before the pick.

Every signal should answer two questions: what is the edge, and how has this model behaved when it had similar conviction?

match winner closed Veolia Atlanta Pickleball Championships · PPA

Will Rafael Lenhard beat JW Johnson in MS R16 at Veolia Atlanta Pickleball Championships?

Model
53.1% YES
Confidence
Pass
Market Interest
early market
This is the decision packet: probability, paper price, lock status, and source-of-truth criteria in one place.

Resolve YES if Rafael Lenhard is officially recorded as defeating JW Johnson in MS R16 at Veolia Atlanta Pickleball Championships. Resolve NO if JW Johnson wins. Void only if the match is cancelled, materially re-seeded before play, or no official result is posted.

Rafael Lenhard53%DinkCoin price
JW Johnson47%DinkCoin price
53.1%
Model Probability
53%
Confidence
0
Paper Positions
0
DinkCoins

Resolution Notes

Source of truthOpen source
Model versionv2-enhanced
Market-ready checklist
  • Question, YES/NO outcomes, and paper prices are visible above.
  • Resolution criteria and source of truth are tied to official event results.
  • Model probability, confidence, DinkCoin interest, and position count are tracked.
  • Export package is ready for Polymarket review or API integration later.
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